It's harder these days to diversify your portfolio:
Economy. Equities. Bonds. Commodities. FX. Hedge Funds. Derivatives
Mittwoch, 10. Juli 2013
Dienstag, 9. Juli 2013
Average “Real Outperformance” of Stocks over Bonds per decade since 1900
From Close Brother Asset Mangement: "A simple analysis of historical trends shows that the 2000s represented a deep cyclical trough for equities compared to bonds. So far, the 2010s have followed on trend as illustrated in the chart below."
The theoretical explanation for Loss Aversion
From Fidelity: "Based on kahneman and Tversky’s “Prospect Theory,” the steepness of the line illustrates that the pain people experience from a loss is nearly twice as powerful as the pleasure they tend to experience when they achieve an equivalent type of gain."
The equity market has experienced more days of 2% declines during the past 13 years than the prior 53-year period.
The equity market has experienced more days of 2% declines during the past 13 years than the prior 53-year period.
Sonntag, 9. Juni 2013
The Self‐Reinforcing European Crisis (Sovereigns, Banks and Economy)
Spillover effects from the Fed’s QE policies so far (June 2013)
Samstag, 8. Juni 2013
What's Windows for PCs, that's Android for Smartphones: Biggest source of Mobile Malware
Freitag, 7. Juni 2013
Effect on US GDP growth from fiscal policy (2010-2014e)
Donnerstag, 6. Juni 2013
Key factors behind the recent narrowing in the Brent‐WTI spread
- displacement of Brent crude imports by increased US-production
- expanded crude by rail & pipeline
- EU refinery maintenance & tariff changes in S. Korea
Mittwoch, 5. Juni 2013
Greecovery: Greek economic sentiment rising sharply, but...
Sources: EU Commission, Thomson Datastream, Data to May
From: JPM
Edit:
However, despite the recovery in sentiment, we [Moody's] expect banks’ asset quality to continue deteriorating over the coming quarters, as signalled by declines in industry orders, tourist receipts and retail trade turnover. These credit negative contractions all point to continued deterioration in banks’ already stressed loan books, which will generate additional loan-loss provisioning requirements and further strain profitability.
From: Moody'S
Edit:
However, despite the recovery in sentiment, we [Moody's] expect banks’ asset quality to continue deteriorating over the coming quarters, as signalled by declines in industry orders, tourist receipts and retail trade turnover. These credit negative contractions all point to continued deterioration in banks’ already stressed loan books, which will generate additional loan-loss provisioning requirements and further strain profitability.
From: Moody'S
Word Equity Monitor: 2013 best performance so far in Japan and with healthcare
JPM's market statistics showing healthcare number one and value better than growth so far (End of May 2013).
From JPM
World price earnings ratio still an argument for stocks
At the end of May 2013 and after big rallies in US Stocks and the biggest European indices the PE ratio for all stocks worldwide is showing a decent value, not as cheap as 2008 or last year, but still below the long term average.
What do do with that? Humm, if you're buying an ETF on a MSCI index, the chart might (still) be an argument for investing in stocks or at least keeping the money in those.
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