Mittwoch, 10. Juli 2013

Correlation between Emerging and Developed Markets on the long run

It's harder these days to diversify your portfolio:

Dienstag, 9. Juli 2013

Average “Real Outperformance” of Stocks over Bonds per decade since 1900

From Close Brother Asset Mangement: "A simple analysis of historical trends shows that the 2000s represented a deep cyclical trough for equities compared to bonds. So far, the 2010s have followed on trend as illustrated in the chart below."

The theoretical explanation for Loss Aversion

From Fidelity: "Based on kahneman and Tversky’s “Prospect Theory,” the steepness of the line illustrates that the pain people experience from a loss is nearly twice as powerful as the pleasure they tend to experience when they achieve an equivalent type of gain."

Historical asset class return and risk (1993—2012) for Equities, Bonds, Real Estate and Hedge funds


The equity market has experienced more days of 2% declines during the past 13 years than the prior 53-year period.

The equity market has experienced more days of 2% declines during the past 13 years than the prior 53-year period.

Freitag, 7. Juni 2013

Donnerstag, 6. Juni 2013

Key factors behind the recent narrowing in the Brent‐WTI spread

- displacement of Brent crude imports by increased US-production 
- expanded crude by rail & pipeline
- EU refinery maintenance & tariff changes in S. Korea

From ScotiaFX

Mittwoch, 5. Juni 2013

Greecovery: Greek economic sentiment rising sharply, but...


Sources: EU Commission, Thomson Datastream, Data to May

From: JPM

Edit:

However, despite the recovery in sentiment, we [Moody's] expect banks’ asset quality to continue deteriorating over the coming quarters, as signalled by declines in industry orders, tourist receipts and retail trade turnover. These credit negative contractions all point to continued deterioration in banks’ already stressed loan books, which will generate additional loan-loss provisioning requirements and further strain profitability.



From: Moody'S

It's the credit stupid! Borrowing on Margin Has Climbed to a Record High Along with the S&P 500



From RBC

Word Equity Monitor: 2013 best performance so far in Japan and with healthcare

JPM's market statistics showing healthcare number one and value better than growth so far (End of May 2013).

From JPM

Small growth stocks rule so far (Jan-May 2013)

From GS

World price earnings ratio still an argument for stocks

At the end of May 2013 and after big rallies in US Stocks and the biggest European indices the PE ratio for all stocks worldwide is showing a decent value, not as cheap as 2008 or last year, but still below the long term average.
What do do with that? Humm, if you're buying an ETF on a MSCI index, the chart might (still) be an argument for investing in stocks or at least keeping the money in those.